Wednesday 21 January 2009

Premier League Relegation (2)

After tipping West Ham to struggle, I am perhaps not best qualified to try and work out what is happening in the Premier League relegation battle.

So who will be in the dreaded dropzone come May?

The Racing Post recently tipped up Newcastle at 9/2 for the drop, and everyone you talk to has a different 3 clubs in the frame.

Current form and the Betfair market would suggest that Middlesboro, Stoke and Hull are all downwardly mobile, but there will be many twists and turns in the coming weeks.

As a Fulham fan I am a born pessimist, and as everyone I talk to confidently procaims that Fulham are safe my worries grow.

Currently available at 11.50 on Betfair, Fulham have won just once in 8 games and still have a phobia of away games.

A magnificent defensive record started to unravel at Upton Park on Sunday as Fulham gifted 3 comedy goals to West Ham.

If that was merely a blip then Fulham will retain their Premier League status comfortably, but if the reported interest in Jimmy Bullard and Brede Hangeland results in a January sale, Fulham could well get dragged into the fight.

A trip to Sunderland and a home game against Portsmouth on 31st Jan are now key battles as trips to Old Trafford and The Emirates in February are likely to draw further away blanks.

I am going to have a small interest in Fulham as an insurance policy, i'm not convinced they will go down, but their price could well contract significantly if results don't improve.

Back Fulham for relegation at 11.50 with a view to trading out for a profit

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